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Yay!

Yay for BBM getting the most nods at the SAG awards, including one for JAKE, at last! ;-D *crosses fingers for Oscar nom* And it was also nommed at the WGA and PGA and DGA (writers, producers and directors guilds), so that's fantastic news! It's definitely the Oscar favorite right now. I guess the only thing to worry about is backlash at this point. Oscar politics can get very strange. I wonder if it would get Best Film but not any acting wins -- that seems likely, just because the Academy likes to split things up, most of the time. Let's see ... last time a Best Picture and Best Actor went together ... American Beauty? No, wait, Mystic River. (ETA: Whoops, that won Best Actor and Best Supporting Actor, but not Best Picture.) So there's hope! There's just the "hot young guy" factor for Heath and Jake, which I, sadly, think is a strike against either of them winning. But it could still happen.

Lost is up for Best Drama Ensemble (or whatever) at the SAG awards. No individual actor noms (*sigh*) but that's still good!

Oh, and JON STEWART is going to host the Oscars? Hot damn! I hope that's true! Yowza! That's too good to be true.

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( 16 comments — Leave a comment )
foxxcub
Jan. 5th, 2006 08:02 pm (UTC)
*FLAILS*

OMG YES JAKE NNNNGUH.

You know, I really don't think they'll split it up, honestly. I think this is, like you said, kind of like American Beauty in the sense that it'll get the acting and Best Picture noms. Maybe that's me being optimistic, but you know the Academy likes to honor "daring" movies. Such, such good news, and Jon Stewart?! Fuckin' A!! :D WAY better choice than Chris Rock.
foxxcub
Jan. 5th, 2006 08:03 pm (UTC)
P.S. I assume Heath was nommed for a SAG, no?
halfdutch
Jan. 5th, 2006 08:05 pm (UTC)
Yep - Heath and Michelle and it's up for best ensemble. (Sorry, Anne, LOL.) But the Jake nom is really news there, so that's fantastic. ;-D

halfdutch
Jan. 5th, 2006 08:04 pm (UTC)
Hee. Still not using all my brain. I think it'll get all the noms, just not maybe win all the top categories. *goes to amend post*

And FUCK YEAH! Jake and Jon Stewart too? Good news!!!

inthekeyofd
Jan. 5th, 2006 08:25 pm (UTC)
I posted about this this morning as soon as I read it..great freakin' news!!

I'm just happy that JAKE got a nomination.

Now see last year they gave Clint the award for best Director, Morgan best supporting actor and Hillary best actress and the movie as best picture.

If they don't go for best actor then the supporting ones will win, they might want to give it something, but there are a lot of factors here..

One, risks. Two, age (the characters were young, they had to be played by relatively younger actors) and Three experience. While Adrian Brody and Jamie Foxx didn't have stellar resumes, their performances were great, and Jamie's was very popular. Heath is fantastic in it, and I'd say that caught a lot of people off guard, Jake is always good, so maybe they will reward him for that consistency.

The Fourth thing, the age of the Academy voters..there are a lot of younger actors there that would like to give it to those who are deserving, instead of waiting for years until they finally relent and give them one (Sean Penn is the perfect example of that--how many years did he get screwed over)

Plus add in Jake has worked with A LOT of Academy members plus add in his family (actually his sister is a member) and he's more than proven he is a fine and worthy actor.

Then you have the "popular' vote, which means if the GG and SGA give them an award there is a 50 percent chance at least they will the Academy Award.

There are a ton of instances where pics win but actors don't but I can pretty much guarantee that if the Director wins or is a shoo in..an actor will win in their category..like people have said, actors don't direct themselves.

Plus, have you noticed how many great Jake reviews there have been lately, I think there is a ground swell for him.

And the voting starts soon for that, I don't think there will be a backlash at all, it's in small theaters gaining popularity.

The only thing they have to watch out for, one of them doing something stupid until then, that makes the votes go down incredibly.

**Jon Stewart is going to host the Academy Awards, I think they just announced it.

inthekeyofd
Jan. 5th, 2006 08:52 pm (UTC)
I'm replying to my own post because I forgot this factor as well...recent diversity of roles.

Remember when Kevin Spacey won for The Usual Suspects, that year he was in a ton of movies..all different roles.

This year alone, Heath has been in "The Lords of Dogtown", "The Brothers Grimm" "Casanova" and "Brokeback" and Jake has been in "Jarhead" "Proof" and "Brokeback" that not only shows that they are steadily working actors but that shows range, all of those roles were different.

That right there is a major factor in voting as well.

And the age thing, not so much anymore, remember Adrian Brody is young, and Heath is what, one year older than Jake, if that is a factor then Jake shouldn't have a problem, remember supporting actors can be the wild card at the Oscars.
halfdutch
Jan. 6th, 2006 12:45 am (UTC)
For youth and supporting actors, there's (off the top of my head), Timothy Hutton and Cuba Gooding Jr for two VERY different roles. I kind of think Heath is going to win, if either of them will and Jake will have to settle for getting nominated. I'd love them both to win but the Academy rarely gives all its prizes to one film.
halfdutch
Jan. 6th, 2006 12:42 am (UTC)
I think Jake's family is very much respected in Hollywood, and he's well liked jo,se;f so that's got to count.

The members in the different guilds don't exactly correspond with the Academy, so the different awards don't always match up but it's a very good indication for nominations, at least! I know Jake didn't get a GG nod because he was considered a lead actor in that race and didn't make the cut. He has a much better shot as supporting.

By backlash, I mean Hollywood itself, whether the industry types start sniping it for whatever reason. I know there's that asshole Dave Poland who hates the film but he's just one blogger and not at all influential, as far as I can tell. Hey, everyone's entitled to their opinion.

I think the youth factor is against Jake and Heath just because in the male actor races, they seem to favor experience. Look how long it took Paul Newman and Al Pacino to finally win and the films they finally won for are so not the right ones! And Sean Penn finally had the right role, although I think he should have also gotten it for Dead Man Walking. I loved it when Adrien Brody won. (He's the youngest lead actor winner, at 29.) That was just phenomenal and one of my favorite things was seeing how gung-ho Jack Nicholson and Nicolas Cage (his competition!) were when he won. They were thrilled and that was lovely to see.

So we shall see. Heath is not a fan of the press (what is it with Australians? LOL) so there could be some kind of incident. But then again, if Sean Penn can win, then there's hope for him too. ;-d
mediocrechick
Jan. 5th, 2006 08:39 pm (UTC)
I get the feeling that both Jake and Heath will get nominated for an Oscar but I think Heath has the better chance (obviously) of actually winning. I think the age-factor is against Jake.... But of course, that doesn't stop me from hoping and praying that Jake wins! Hee! :p

Please, Jon Stewart, please say yes and host the Oscars! PLEASE!!!!!
inthekeyofd
Jan. 5th, 2006 08:54 pm (UTC)
I don't think the age factor really matters in the supporting categories..remember Tatum O'Neil and Anna Paquin weren't even teenagers when they won. Jake is 25, so hopefully they will see past age, go for quality..he has quite an impressive resume, plus a great reputation as giving one hell of a great performance.
halfdutch
Jan. 6th, 2006 12:47 am (UTC)
Yes!! Nominate them both and I hope they win! There really isn't anyone else i'm rooting for this year in those categories. I loved Constant Gardener, so sad that Ralph Fiennes is getting overlooked but I'm rooting for Rachel Weisz there. For lead actress .. . I actually liked Reese Witherspoon in Walk the Line a lot and I'm not all that fond of her as a person, heh.

And looks like Jon is a go! Hurrah! *tosses hat in the air*
eponine119
Jan. 5th, 2006 09:18 pm (UTC)
Jon Stewart hosting the Oscars could be the coolest thing ever.

Still not having seen the movie yet, it seems weird to me that Jake's nominated for Supporting Actor where Heath's getting all the attention for Leading Actor. Are their roles really that unbalanced/unequal in the film?
halfdutch
Jan. 6th, 2006 12:34 am (UTC)
Agreed. Jon Stewart is possibly too smart and savvy for the gig, but I'm very excited.

Jake's in the film slightly less than Heath. Putting him in the supporting category is a strategic move by the studio, to make sure they don't cancel each other out, like oh, Susan Sarandon and Geena Davis did in Thelma and Louise. This conversation comes up every Oscar season - some years supporting roles get bumped up to lead if the role is strong enough and the competition is weak (like Louise Fletcher in 'One Flew Over the Cuckoo's Nest') and some years leads get bumped into supporting if they have a stronger shot that way. And yes, I have a few books on Oscar history. ;-D
gabrita
Jan. 6th, 2006 02:39 am (UTC)
Jon Stewart would be perfect omg thank you for that tidbit! And life is funny because I still haven't seen BBM even though I fucking read the story when it first came out a few years ago! Were you here in Seattle recently? I think I saw a post about it. The rainnnnn omg. I kinda like it but LA is very, very, very different in that way, huh?
halfdutch
Jan. 7th, 2006 12:57 am (UTC)
Ahh, but you can go see BBM at the Egyptian or Harvard Exit, right? ;-D Go! *shoves you toward theater*

I was just up in Seattle over Christmas. It makes me sad to see my city change (Fremont has been raped by those horrible warehouses. :-/) But it will always be my city, even if I never live there again.

And we had rain here too but fortunately now it's GONE and it's blue skies and so hot I'm typing this in my tank top and shorts! Woo! *looks at calendar again, to be sure*

gabrita
Jan. 10th, 2006 08:29 pm (UTC)
Ha, I drive by the Egyptian theater almost everyday since I work nearby! BBM was still playing there as of yesterday. You mean the warehouses along Leary and the riverbank in Fremont? Yikes! Being new, I don't know any better, but I can say that Fremont is hands down my favorite part of Seattle. I live in Ballard so it's right by where I am, woo. Which part of Seattle did you grow up in? *curious*
( 16 comments — Leave a comment )

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